A war in Ukraine will be disastrous for the world. Nobody wants it. Neither Vladimir Putin nor Joe Biden and not Europe, especially not Germany and France. Yet accidents do happen on the frontline that can lead to war. World War 1, was triggered by the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand by a Serbian nationalist. So, nothing can be ruled out in a volatile high-pressure situation, where nerves are on edge. 바카라 웹사이트
For New Delhi a war will be a nightmare, considering 바카라 웹사이트Russia is a time-tested friend, that has stood by India in its time of need. India 바카라 웹사이트has also an excellent and expanding relations with the US, and is part of the quad, a new grouping of the US, India, Japan and Australia, primarily to take on China in the Indo-Pacific. Since China라이브 바카라 recent 바카라 웹사이트incursion across the LAC in Ladakh, New Delhi has moved closer to the US. India has been able to maintain good relations with both the US and Russia. Yet, in case of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, which American leaders are loudly proclaiming each day, India will be in a spot. There will be tremendous pressure by the Biden administration for India to line up with Washington against Moscow.
As it is, Washington was not too pleased when India refused to take sides on a vote seeking discussion on Ukraine at the United Nations Security Council, on January 31. India라이브 바카라 abstention got a big 'thank you'바카라 웹사이트from the Russians. T.S. Tirumurti, India라이브 바카라 Permanent Representative to the UN, said at the meeting, "India라이브 바카라 interest is in finding a solution that can provide for immediate de-escalation of tensions taking into account the legitimate security interests of all countries and aimed towards securing long term peace and stability in the region and beyond. Everyone is aware that the rapid expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) that is encircling Russia and impinges on Moscow라이브 바카라 security 바카라 웹사이트is at the root of the current crisis.
The Americans were reportedly not amused by the Indian stand. When the US can be so sensitive about not siding with the west on a discussion on Ukraine, imagine the pressure that is likely to be exerted in case a real war breaks out and New Delhi tries to play both sides. Indian diplomats have so far done a fine balancing act, keeping India라이브 바카라 strategic interests in mind. But in case the situation escalates into a full-fledged war New Delhi would need to tread carefully.
However, India is no push-over and the Americans are well aware of that. Despite massive pressure from the former Trump administration and threat of sanctions, India went ahead with its commitment to buy the S-400 missile defence system from Russia. Turkey, a NATO ally has been punished with punitive sanctions by the US for buying the same missile system. The Biden administration may be pushed to slap sanctions on India in case the situation escalates, through the Countering America라이브 바카라 Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA). This will also impinge on India라이브 바카라 future military purchases from Russia, which is already under tough sanctions, with threats of more to come in case of war. India라이브 바카라 investments in Russia라이브 바카라 energy sector as well as Russia라이브 바카라 Far East will not take off if more punitive sanctions are slapped on Moscow by the Biden administration. As is the case with Iran, also under heavy US sanctions, India라이브 바카라 private sector is averse to doing business with countries under US sanctions, for fear of being banned from the US financial market.
The Americans may be under the impression that India is in a vulnerable position because of China, and could be pressured into abandoning its neutrality. But they also realise that Delhi is not prone to taking dictation. Sanctions against India, would also queer the pitch at a time when Washington is hoping to balance China라이브 바카라 clout 바카라 웹사이트by siding with India, another major Asian country. At the moment the US and India라이브 바카라 strategic interest라이브 바카라 vise-a-vise China coincides. Washington is going slow on 바카라 웹사이트sanctioning India for now. 바카라 웹사이트But in case of war in Ukraine that attitude can quickly change. Domestic political pressure from the Republicans to punish India for buying the S-400 missiles from Russia, when it is at war with Ukraine, may make the Biden administration change its mind.
"So far India has navigated the choppy waters reasonably well,"바카라 웹사이트says Nandan Unnikrishnan, well known Russian expert, at the Delhi-based think tank the ORF (Observer Research Foundation). When asked what would be India라이브 바카라 stand if a war actually breaks out, he said: "It is too 바카라 웹사이트early for India to take a call. Many factors will come into play. So, it would be foolish to take a decision right now and limit India라이브 바카라 options."
India라이브 바카라 former envoy to the UN, Asoke Mukerji says that in case of a war, the issue will certainly come to the 바카라 웹사이트UN Security Council. India is currently serving a two-year term as a non-permanent member and can play a leadership role. The 15-member council will discuss the situation and vote on the issue. Nine바카라 웹사이트of the 15 members will likely vote for an immediate cessation of hostility and get the warring parties to sit down for talks. Tirumurti had already made it plain on January 31, that India is for a peaceful negotiated settlement. On the table will be the Minsk and Normandy agreements, which will form the basis for discussion. 바카라 웹사이트
In view of the tense situation in Ukraine, the Indian embassy in Kyiv has asked Indian nationals including the 18,000 students, to leave the country unless their stay is absolutely necessary. Family members of embassy staff have also been asked to return home.
Nobody is quite sure how the situation will pan out, but the fact remains that a war in Ukraine is certainly against Indian interests as it takes US and western focus away from China. It serves India라이브 바카라 interest for the world to work at containing China라이브 바카라 aggressive moves in Asia.
