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The Iranian Regime Is Facing A Tough Challenge But Change Is Yet Unlikely

The Iranian authorities are in a fix on how to best deal with the current street protests. In the face of people라이브 바카라 defiance, the government may finally take corrective measures to diffuse tension, but beyond that nothing will change.

Iran is witnessing nationwide protests for weeks over the custodial death of Mahsa Amini
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It is not certain if the fire in Iran라이브 바카라 high security Evin prison is linked with the on-going anti-hijab protests that has swept through the country since last month.바카라 웹사이트

The authorities have clearly said they are not. But sound of gunfire from the prison and raising of anti-regime slogans 바카라 웹사이트by people gathered outside the jail, 바카라 웹사이트tell a different story.바카라 웹사이트

One thing is clear, that people라이브 바카라 patience is running thin and Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei라이브 바카라 regime may perhaps be facing its toughest challenge. Whether the discontent will lead to any drastic change is difficult to predict, but the message is loud and clear that there is widespread anger against the current government.

However it is unlikely that the anti-hijab stirs and the general unhappiness of people with the regime would translate into regime change.

The Iranian state is much too powerful for that and there is also support for the theocratic state run by the Ayatollah라이브 바카라 among a large section of religious minded바카라 웹사이트

Iranians especially across rural areas. 바카라 웹사이트Though the people of Iran have enormous capacity to take pain, decades of economic sanctions by the US and the downturn worldwide since the pandemic have had a heavy toll on ordinary lives.바카라 웹사이트

The general disillusionment with the state, high prices of everything, the fact that many professionals have to take two jobs to survive the economic hardships, the enormous power that the religious police enjoy and the strict hijab rules have frustrated large sections of the urban population. 바카라 웹사이트

바카라 웹사이트``It is difficult to predict what will eventually happen, but regime change is not likely. The people have sent out a strong signal, and at best the system may adopt corrective measures to diffuse the tension and perhaps instruct the moral police 바카라 웹사이트to behave with much more restraint,’’ says K.C.Singh, India라이브 바카라 former ambassador to Tehran. 바카라 웹사이트

Another former ambassador speaking on condition of anonymity said :`` The current agitation will have a long term effect and could affect the present rigidity that has been the norm since the Islamic Revolution.’’ 바카라 웹사이트

Revolt against Khamenei, the Supreme Leader, is rare as the clergy has run Iran with an iron fist 바카라 웹사이트since the Revolution of 1979 over threw the Shah of Iran. Yet as former US President Barak Obama 바카라 웹사이트reminded the world, there was a movement against the regime in 2009, centred around Iran라이브 바카라 presidential elections.바카라 웹사이트

The demonstrations however 바카라 웹사이트were not against the Supreme leader but former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, accused by supporters of his rival Mir-Hossein Mousavi of having stolen the votes. 바카라 웹사이트Protesters carried placards asking ``Where is my Vote.’’바카라 웹사이트

Obama confessed that in retrospect he believed 바카라 웹사이트he made a mistake by not supporting what was called the green movement. The authorities crushed the protests and without any foreign help the agitation petered out.

While the 2009 protests were by supporters of a particular candidate the 2019 agitation were by ordinary citizens. When the government removed subsidies on petrol, people라이브 바카라 anger spilled on to the streets as decades of US sanctions had already made life unbearable for ordinary citizens. Gas stations were set ablaze and banks ransacked. That was the first show of defiance by the people and was swiftly curtailed.바카라 웹사이트

But since the death of 바카라 웹사이트22-year old Mahsa Amini, arrested by the religious police for not wearing her hijab in the way they approved, the situation changed dramatically.

Evin prison is in northern Tehran and houses several political prisoners, anti-government journalists and foreigners detained by the authorities. Considering that many of those detained in Evin were also anti-hijab protesters, it could be that prisoners were agitating in the jail known for abuse and torture of inmates.바카라 웹사이트

The actual picture of Saturday라이브 바카라 fire will take time to emerge, though videos of smoke rising from the facility are all over social media. BBC quoted state media as saying that ``criminal elements’’ were responsible for the fire.

Saturday라이브 바카라 prison fire, 바카라 웹사이트will add one more dimension to the problems faced by the Iranian state.바카라 웹사이트
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