In 2014, the Badal clan in Punjab was flying high. The patriarch, Parkash Singh Badal, was the chief minister, with his son Sukhbir the deputy. Sukhbir라이브 바카라 brother-in-law Bikram Singh Majithia was a powerful cabinet minister, as was another brother-in-law, Adesh Partap Singh Kairon.
Their party, Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), was a National Democratic Alliance (NDA) ally, and had just ridden the Narendra Modi political tsunami which was poised to crash on the shores of power in Delhi.
Sukhbir was perhaps standing on the narrow ledge that separates confidence from arrogance, when he told an interviewer why dynasty is a good political calling card in India. The “family system”, Sukhbir explained, runs on the fuel of credibility.
“Why do people want to buy a Mercedes car? Or a BMW car? Because they know the credibility of that car. You come out with a new car that nobody knows, nobody will buy it,” said the deputy CM of one of India라이브 바카라 more prosperous states.
Sukhbir라이브 바카라 bombastic comment attributed little credit to the party cadre and second-rung leaders. Like in most dynastic structures, the latter accounted for little in India라이브 바카라 second-oldest political party—after the Congress—which was founded in 1920 as the action arm of the Sikh religious body, the Shiromani Gurdwara Prabandhak Committee.
By 2022, the sleek Bilstein shock-absorbers of Badal라이브 바카라 Mercedes and BMW fleet were groaning on the rocky political path. Perhaps there were too many big-framed Badals crammed in a posh automobile, in which Parkash Singh sat behind the wheel, Sukhbir rode shotgun, while his wife, Lok Sabha MP Harsimrat Kaur and her brother Bikram Majithia, sat in the rear with Kairon.
The wheels of the Badal라이브 바카라 dynastic automobile came off in the elections this year. Parkash Singh, Sukhbir, Kairon and Majithia all lost to Aam Aadmi Party upstarts in the assembly polls.
The Congress also lost the polls, but just before that, it seemed to have identified a serious organisational flaw. A Congress panel led by the Leader of the Opposition in the Rajya Sabha Mallikarjun Kharge had narrowed down on the lack of a second-rung leadership in Punjab as a key lacuna.
SAD라이브 바카라 telling electoral debacle does not reflect the ultimate analysis of India라이브 바카라 dynastic politics. But it does make a statement about how parties that rely heavily on dynastic elements or individualistic personality and charisma, tend to come undone in the absence of a credible and empowered second-rung leadership; especially when the tide of popularity of the dynasty or the personality wanes.
The political trajectories of Bihar and Odisha chief ministers, Nitish Kumar and Naveen Patnaik, also make a compelling case for the need of a second line-of-command in their respective parties, namely the Janata Dal-United (JD-U) and the Biju Janata Dal (BJD).
Kumar, 71, has ascended the Bihar throne on seven occasions. In the course of his political journey, he has turned friends into foes and foes into friends (in some cases, many times over), while subtly yanking power levers.
But the sheer absence of a second-in-command in his party does make one wonder what rabbit he would pull out of his paag (a traditional headgear worn in Mithila) to counter this handicap. When it comes to survival, the chief minister has thus far always come up with an answer, but has he planned a roadmap for the party in the era after Nitish Kumar?
The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), on the other hand, appears to have its succession plan ready. Lalu Prasad Yadav, the ailing party president, would rest easy, knowing his son, Deputy Chief Minister Tejashwi Yadav라이브 바카라 political career didn’t draw a blank, unlike his stint at professional cricket.
South of Nitish라이브 바카라 turf, along the Bay of Bengal, Patnaik, who was once written-off as being too Westernised to run a rural state like Odisha, has proved his critics wrong by becoming chief minister five times.
Patnaik inherited the political legacy of his father Biju. But once in, he split the Janata Dal in Odisha to form the BJD, a party with his own identity stamped on it. Patnaik was much younger, in his 50s, then. Times have changed now. Patnaik is now 75 and unmarried, with no dynast waiting in the wings to take over the party reins, nor a credible second-rung leadership. Ahead of the 2019 assembly polls, questions were also raised about his fading health.
Much before he took charge of Odisha, Patnaik was known to party hard. He hung out with rock legend Mick Jagger, and Jacqueline Kennedy Onassis. His personal website describes him as the author of a book The Garden of Life, on Indian healing plants. He also ran a store selling healing herbs in Delhi. One wonders if he has some exotic, herbal poultice ready to remedy the succession crisis that could potentially confront BJD in the absence of a credible second-rung leadership.
The question of the future of Patnaik라이브 바카라 party is relevant in the present in the case of Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) president Mayawati, 66. Her party was wiped out in recent electoral contests. Her ailing health and the lack of second-rung leaders in the BSP appear to have impacted its fortunes.
Kanshi Ram, who founded the BSP in 1984, had groomed Mayawati as his successor. Mayawati was a government schoolteacher preparing for civil services examinations when Ram, who was scouting for leaders, landed at her house.
The BSP founder라이브 바카라 pitch to Mayawati was direct. “I can make you such a big leader one day that not one, but a row of collectors will line up with files in front of you, waiting for orders,” according to her biographer Ajoy Bose.
Today, Mayawati appears to have forgotten to follow Ram라이브 바카라 footsteps when it comes to grooming her successor, unlike her bête noire Mulayam Singh Yadav of the Samajwadi Party, whose son Akhilesh has taken over the party baton.
Compared to BSP라이브 바카라 empty larder, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) seems to be suffering from a problem of plenty. The DMK라이브 바카라 origin is rooted in Periyar Ramasamy라이브 바카라 social reform movement against Brahminical domination in Tamil Nadu. The party was initially led by C.N. Annadurai, before writer and lyricist M. Karunanidhi took over its reins, inserting his familial DNA into its ethos.
Karunanidhi라이브 바카라 reign spanned nearly 50 years. His son M.K. Stalin is now the chief minister of Tamil Nadu. Stalin라이브 바카라 stepsister Kanimozhi is a Lok Sabha MP. His estranged brother, M.K. Alagiri, a Union minister in PM Manmohan Singh라이브 바카라 cabinet, is now knocking on the party라이브 바카라 doors once again. Karunanidhi라이브 바카라 nephew, late Murasoli Maran, was a Union minister, as was his son Dayanidhi. Stalin라이브 바카라 son Udayanidhi, a film producer, is also an MLA.
Soon after Karunanidhi라이브 바카라 demise, however, the party라이브 바카라 second-rung leaders began clamouring for space within. Ahead of the 2021 state assembly elections, the party라이브 바카라 senior cadre moved aggressively to corner seats—5,000 of them applying to contest 234 seats in the polls. This surge from grassroots workers is indicative of the lack of middle-rung leaders in the party라이브 바카라 hierarchy who are independent of familial ties.
“With the family so deeply entrenched in the party라이브 바카라 politics, the case for an outsider taking centre stage doesn’t arise. The party라이브 바카라 second rung is too powerless to throw up a leader on their own, ignoring either of the sons and the patriarch,” political analyst Akshaya Mishra wrote in 2011, when Karunanidhi라이브 바카라 failing health raised the issue of succession.
In contrast, the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), a party founded by legendary actor M.G. Ramachandran in 1972, faces a drought of credible successors.
While AIADMK was briefly led by MGR라이브 바카라 wife V.N. Janaki Ramachandran, the party라이브 바카라 reins were finally wrested by MGR라이브 바카라 favourite co-star J. Jayalalithaa, who became chief minister six times.
Jayalalithaa라이브 바카라 death in 2016 and the fact that there is no obvious successor in sight, has queered the pitch for the party. The AIADMK is now the backdrop for a power tussle between two ex-CMs, Edappadi K. Palaniswami (EPS), now Leader of Opposition in the state assembly, and O. Panneerselvam (OPS). Political commentators suggest that the conflict between EPS and OPS could help BJP occupy the political space AIADMK is vacating in Tamil Nadu.
Across TN라이브 바카라 western border, in Karnataka, former PM H.D. Deve Gowda라이브 바카라 clan holds sway over the Janata Dal (S).
Last year, Gowda라이브 바카라 grandson Suraj Revanna became the eighth clan member to join active party politics. Suraj라이브 바카라 father H.D. Revanna, a former minister, is a sitting MLA. His mother was involved in zila panchayat politics, while his brother Prajwal is a Lok Sabha MP. The patriarch라이브 바카라 son H.D. Kumaraswamy is a former CM, the latter라이브 바카라 wife Anitha is an MLA, and son Nikhil a party youth leader.
The 89-year-old Deve Gowda라이브 바카라 JD(S) is positioned similar to the DMK when viewed through the prism of succession and second-rung leaders, considering that in the JD(S) too, there is a growing demand from below for leaders to cede political space.
The absence of a second-rung challenger to the Gowdas could have also led to lethargy at the top of the JD(S) pyramid vis-a-vis revitalising the party cadre.
North of Karnataka, in Maharashtra, the BJP is readying a transition to second-rung leadership, personified by Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis. BJP라이브 바카라 recent decision to drop Union minister Nitin Gadkari from a top decision-making body, the central parliamentary board, appears to be a broad hint. The Shiv Sena too is grooming Aaditya Thackeray as its gen-next leader, while the NCP already has a battery of younger Pawars waiting on the second rung.
Like Maharashtra, the political sphere in Jammu and Kashmir too has been dominated by two dynasties—the Abdullahs and the Sayeeds—who have run the Jammu and Kashmir People라이브 바카라 Conference (JKPC) and the Jammu and Kashmir Peoples Democratic Party (JKPDP), respectively.
In the former, the leadership mantle had passed on from Sheikh Abdullah to his son Farooq, and on to Farooq라이브 바카라 son Omar. The JKPDP was founded by the late Mufti Mohammad Sayeed, whose daughter Mehbooba now runs the show.
The dominance of the two families in the region라이브 바카라 political affairs is now being criticised by newer political parties like the Jammu and Kashmir Apni Party, which does not carry a legacy burden. “We know that these families, which have been at the helm for decades, have always exploited common people to attain power,” says the party라이브 바카라 president, Altaf Bukhari.
According to JKNC chief spokesperson Tanvir Sadiq, the issue of dynasty does not arise as long as the Abdullahs win elections for the party.
“It doesn’t matter whether there is a dynast or not, as long as the party is winning elections… People have voted for both Farooq and Omar,” Sadiq says.
The JKPDP also insists that Mufti was forced to rope in his family into politics because no one wanted to contest elections due to threats from Pakistan-sponsored militants.
“No one wanted to contest elections… He (Mufti) compelled his family members—including his wife Gulshan Ara, who was a homemaker—to take part in polls,” JKPDP라이브 바카라 Syed Naeem Akhtar Andrabi said.
Haryana too had come to symbolise politics dominated by the Chautalas, Bhajan Lal and Co, Bansi Lal and the Hoodas, but no single Indian political party has carved itself as a model for non-development of second-rung leadership independent of dynasty like the Congress party.
Its second-rung dynasts, Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Vadra, have repeatedly failed at both herding the organisation together and at winning elections. The party라이브 바카라 historic penchant for regularly blunting the political beaks of promising regional satraps, and its failure to cement a second rung of leaders outside the Gandhi clan, has only added to frequent departures and rebellions.
The decline in Congress’ electoral fortunes, and the emergence of a Narendra Modi-powered BJP, has also witnessed a series of recent rebellions from within, with several seniors, as well as second-rung leaders like Jyotiraditya Scindia, Jaiveer Shergill, RPN Singh, Hardik Patel, Jitin Prasada and Priyanka Chaturvedi quitting the party fold.
Well-known columnist S.A. Aiyer had rung warning bells for the Congress in 2013, when he compared the party structure to a family business, rather than a political party. “Enthusiastic investors seek to become shareholders in this great enterprise, and share in its dividends and capital appreciation. They can even hope to rise to the Board. But only at their peril can they dream of becoming CEO. That post, as in all good family businesses, is reserved for the controlling family,” Aiyer had said.
In 2011, Pradeep Chhibber, a professor and Indo-American Community Chair in India Studies at UC Berkeley, made a case for how, in the absence of a robust party structure, independent civil society associations that mobilise support for a party, and the presence of a centralised financing of elections leads to the “emergence and sustenance of dynastic parties in India”. “An explanation developed by economists is that familial ties are more likely to dominate in weakly-institutionalised environments, especially where gains from controlling private benefits are large. A second and perhaps more compelling argument is that in weakly-institutionalised party systems, the leadership remains within a family since a name-bearing dynastic successor inherits the brand appeal of the surname and the party simultaneously,” his research paper said.
The BJP, on the other hand, appears to have a history of putting forward young leaders. Modi, Gadkari, Uma Bharti, as well as now-deceased leaders like Pramod Mahajan, Gopinath Munde, Manohar Parrikar, Arun Jaitley, Sushma Swaraj and Ananth Kumar, were thrust into frontline politics by L.K. Advani and A.B. Vajpayee. Modi라이브 바카라 regime has also seen younger leaders like Kiren Rijiju, Smriti Irani, Tejasvi Surya, K. Annamalai, Anurag Thakur and Devendra Fadnavis positioned in the front trenches.
Chhibber라이브 바카라 oft-quoted research paper also identifies the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) as a clear distinction between the functioning of the Congress and the BJP. As a civil society pressure group for support mobilisation, it keeps the party clear from reliance on dynasts.
Adam Ziegfield, an associate professor of political science at Philadelphia라이브 바카라 Temple University, also picks out the BJP라이브 바카라 reliance on ideology as a “bulwark against dynasticism”.
But Modi라이브 바카라 ‘New India’ also encompasses a “new” BJP, where power at the top is concentrated in his hands and those of Home Minister Amit Shah alone, at the expense of inner party democracy. The era has also witnessed a proliferation of regional dynasties in the BJP, which appear to have cornered opportunities that could have been grabbed by its second rung drawn from the cadre.
Fadnavis hails from a political family. So do MPs Dushyant Singh, Poonam Mahajan, Jayant Sinha, Heena Gavit, Anurag Thakur, Sunny Deol, BY Raghavendra, Pritam Munde, Piyush Goyal and Jyotiraditya Scindia.
So, has the party—which fashionably raged against the culture of ‘dynasty raj’ not too long ago, and took pride in young leaders it has unearthed over the last three decades—stabilised its political presence on the shoulders of regional dynasties? If that is the case, where does it leave the BJP라이브 바카라 second-rung leaders, drawn from its own cadre?
The Gandhis have a lot to explain for shunning promising second rung leaders, amid the avalanche of electoral failures of the Congress. So do Modi and Shah, under whose leadership, the BJP, with all its electoral successes, has re-invented the role of dynasty in Indian politics. Dynasties backed by the BJP are subservient to the sovereign duo, but they also override younger leaders with promise from its own stable.
(This appeared in the print edition as "SECOND W‘RUNG’")
With inputs from Naseer Ganai
